Joseph Kabila can he represent in the 2016 elections?Twelve years ago he is the head of the DRC ... Yet initially, Joseph Kabila very reluctant to succeed his father, Laurent-Desire Kabila, assassinated 16 January 2001. According to a secret document sent from the US Embassy in Kinshasa at the State Department ten days later, two men - George Falay Buse, Chief of the late president, and Jean Mbuyu, his deputy - played "a key role" to convince the young man then aged 29.To them, Joseph Kabila, head of ground forces general staff, was "the only person" who could be accepted by all tendencies in the government and army.Reluctant At the time, the two men explain to one of their contacts within the US Embassy in Kinshasa, three other contenders coveted President's chair Gaëtan Kakuji Mwenze Kongolo and Abdoulaye Yerodia Ndombasi."The task was not [therefore] not easy," since we had to get them to "accept Joseph."If the latter two were quickly sold, tough negotiations were eventually persuaded to give up his first "presidential aspirations".This raised obstacle, "the final challenge remained to convince Kabila himself" to play the game. "The approach had proved more difficult than expected because it was initially very reluctant," says Mbuyu, always quoted in the cable .He would "not give explanations" for his hesitation, but Mbuyu think that "it is probably preoccupied first of his personal safety."When they had finally agreed, and Jean Georges Buse Falay Mbuyu convoked the Council of Ministers to present Kabila."Here is your new president," they announced to the members of government."There was very little discussion" in the room, says Mbuyu.The twenty-three other ministers were content to watch Kakuji Mwenze Yerodia and to see whether or not they approved of the choice."The deal was sealed when these three key figures expressed their support" for Kabila concluded Mbuyu.Today, it is special advisor to President Kabila.Georges Buse Falay him, after his minister, withdrew in South Africa.Tipped to be prime minister in the last reshuffle, he momentarily returned to the country in early 2012, but the choice of leader finally settled on Augustin Matata Ponyo.This reflection, written in simple and accessible to all style, analyzes the scope, challenges and prospects of the current electoral process that 2016 seems to polarize and capture the attention and political tension currently felt in the Congo, its diaspora or in diplomatic circles.This is based on our personal experience of actor and observer of the political scene, such as former Special Adviser to the Presidency of the Republic and as a journalist committed to RSL, RTG @ and after CMCTV and taking account past experiences and consequences of previous electoral processes in terms of the bill paid by the State and the Congolese population in financial costs, loss of life and other waste, we address this issue which make the headlines of all political debates and societal DR Congo.It should be noted at first that this analysis has a long observation of the course of political events in our country since 2001, the changes that have occurred to date, regional and global political issues.Our approach is also part of a dynamic to inform the Congolese for a real collective awareness to enable them to assume now the fate of a Congo dignified, strong, competitive in the concert of nations.What political future for Kabila in 2016?DRC: Kabila HOW JOSEPH KING HAS BEEN DONE This questioning may interrogations declined in several forms, namely: Joseph Kabila can he run for the 2016 elections?Joseph Kabila wants or does it run in the 2016 elections?Or Joseph Kabila will he run for the 2016 elections?Joseph Kabila will does ilrespecter the provisions of the Constitution?The election does ellelieu présidentielleaura in 2016?My questioning results of the four following observations: 1) Most African states Heads bad name to perpetuate in power, and have become constitutions modifications champions, tailored, to enable them to to remain indefinitely in power against the popular will, and there to their original mandates.Consequently, they establish a power personified in fact, that no longer defends the general interest and which is supported by the repressive measures of the state, to establish their authority and decrease in silence any dissenting voice.2) That the political tradition and elegance.

This decision, once taken, we hope, allow that the 2016 elections take place in a peaceful climate and prevent the country from sliding back into chaos, with enormous losses of human lives and property as in the past.This leads us to wonder acute: The Congolese do not they right to see their country living in their former head of state arrived late mandate without this creates political instability during his departure from power?What actually lose Joseph Kabila if he complies with the constitutional provisions that prohibit any other conflicting approach?What he fears into reality?What does he actually gain if he remains in power when it already manages difficult to fulfill its current mandate very heckled?What to see win the DRC Kabila operate a constitutional coup in 2016?What would gain the international community to close his eyes again if Kabila is seeking a new mandate when we see the radicalization of the Congolese diaspora everywhere?How it Kabila designs manage DRC in case of a third term which crispera more the political climate in the DRC while it currently only ensure national cohesion? As for the question related to the fear of leaving Kabila normally power in 2016, it refers to the threat of being be brought to justice.Indeed, trials against political leaders late mandate especially in the context of Africa in general and Congo in particular are inevitable.These trials serve a dual purpose.First punish leaders to serve as a lesson to others, and at the same time to repair the damage to the country, the people and the victims (targeted assassinations, blood crimes, crimes against humanity, treason, economic crimes , unfair contracts etc.) For us, a politician statesman is called when the end term, he assumes his responsibility and with all the assets and liabilities of its exercise of power during the time he managed public affairs.This is called AWARE.That's unfortunately the meander of power, Joseph Kabila, in view of what he did and suffered the Congo made during his presidency, has a responsibility and must be accountable to the people what primary sovereign Congolese.If it is sued, it will present as any person accused, his defense before the Congolese or international courts.But this obviously depends on how he will leave the pouvoir.Cependant, it may be that we were wrong and that President Kabila would absolutely hold on to pouvoir.Quels issues and political consequences in the event of a third term Kabila? ConstatsComme the aircraft pointed us in our various comments on ESCR, all decors seem planted for something that smells prochain.Notez tampering of the electoral process: 1.The Congolese opposition, civil society, human rights NGOs, the Congolese diaspora, experts Congolese analysts inside and outside the country and some states have raised the tone for the provisions of the Constitution of the DRC are respected, and that the elections, including presidential are effective in 2016. This pressure that the Kinshasa government currency strategy.It only affects the constitution, but change the electoral law, changing the electoral system for provincial deputies to be elected rather by the municipal councilors or sectors, in the electoral district by direct universal suffrage, such as have sections 197, referring to Articles 100,101,102,103,108 and 109 of the constitution.These provisions are nevertheless apply mutatis mutandis to the national and provincial deputies, a few differences près.Dès then, we can not change these provisions without revising the constitution.However, the principle of direct universal suffrage is a provision in the constitution locked, so untouchable under Article 219. Change the content of these constitutional provisions, though prohibited, even on a sheet called electoral law is a revision of the on draft constitution and therefore a violation of the provisions of the intangible component, under section 219. So the question arises: Where do we respect the primary sovereign?Where is the morality? 2.Having found that Pastor Ngoy Mulunda has many indiscretions and impulsive personality, populist, erratic and often unwise, to try to play his last card, Kabila did call to Father Apollinaire Malumalu, a connoisseur of politics Congolese with a very philosophical approach and soothed, reassuring while being easily influenced and loyal to leader del future state.